Western Lake Erie
The Great Lakes hold 20% of the Earth’s fresh surface water. Western Lake Erie is the shallowest, warmest and most biologically productive area in all of the Great Lakes. Spanning 150 miles of shoreline from Point Pelee, Ontario to Sandusky Bay, Ohio, it supports globally-designated important migratory bird habitat, billions of dollars in commercial and recreational fisheries, provides drinking water for 11 million people and an abundance of recreational benefits. Today, only 5% of the ecologically and economically significant coastal wetlands on which people depend for these valued services remain. Western Lake Erie, like all of the Great Lakes, is at risk from impacts brought on by a changing climate. Storm damage, primarily from river flooding following heavy rains, to natural and built infrastructure is on the rise. Historic decadal trends in Great Lakes water levels are increasingly erratic.
There is a growing awareness of the risk posed by extreme weather and climate change, risks that are especially relevant to communities located at river mouths, where these climate impacts are likely to be concentrated. However, communities often have limited access to the information and tools available to protect the people and natural assets they value through specific planning or conservation actions that reduce risk. Mapping projected changes and identifying areas for conservation action will help lessen negative impacts and allow for improved local and regional coastal resilience planning. The current and future resilience of western Lake Erie depends on the ability to visualize coming changes, plan for the future and take action to avoid future costs to the economy, citizens and environment.
Overview
Lake Erie Biodiversity Conservation Strategy: In support of the Lake Erie Lakewide Action and Management Plan, The Nature Conservancy in Michigan, along with Michigan Natural Features Inventory and Nature Conservancy Canada, developed the Lake Erie Biodiversity Conservation Strategy (LEBCS). Incorporating the input of almost 200 people from around the lake, this report identifies eight biodiversity conservation targets – including coastal wetlands – and recommends strategies for overcoming threats to those targets. The LEBCS identified a goal to increase the total area of coastal wetlands around Western Lake Erie by 10% (from 2011 levels) by 2030, which translates to between 2,500 and 6,400 acres of new wetlands (depending on wetland mapping approach).
Western Lake Erie Coastal Conservation Vision Mapping: The Western Lake Erie Coastal Conservation Vision mapping identifies where to work to achieve the ecological goals identified in the LEBCS and enhance human well-being targets. The cost required to meet these integrated goals was also estimated. From concept development to final outputs, this work benefited from suggestions and data provided by practitioners and researchers in Michigan, Ohio and Ontario. Employing the spatial conservation planning software, Marxan with Zones, in an innovative manner, the Vision identifies optimal areas to achieve ecological goals and benefit human well-being at the lowest socioeconomic cost. Detailed methods for the analysis are available here. The most important areas for coastal conservation on land are located within 3-4 km (2-2.5 mi) of the shoreline, with some areas farther inland. The approach is now being expanded north through the St. Clair-Detroit River System and into Saginaw Bay by the Upper Midwest & Great Lakes Landscape Conservation Cooperative (LLC) Coastal Conservation Working Group.
Stakeholder Engagement: Three workshops were held in 2014 to disseminate the Western Lake Erie Coastal Conservation Vision mapping concept and early outputs to stakeholders in Michigan, Ohio, and Ontario, engaging approximately 100 attendees from federal, state, and local government, academic institutions, nonprofit organizations and the private sector. Data sets, analysis methods, and preliminary outputs were shared at each workshop. Attendees provided valuable feedback for improved analysis and a follow-up webinar was held to show how feedback was incorporated.

Spatial Road map to inform and justify actions

Stakeholder workshop to review and provide feedback on the preliminary results of the Western Lake Erie Coastal Conservation Vision. The Vision integrates ecological and human well-being values to identify locations for projects that benefit both nature and people. Maumee Bay State Park Lodge and Conference Center, June 25, 2014. Photo Credit: Katie Kahl/The Nature Conservancy
Next steps
The Nature Conservancy’s western Lake Erie coastal strategy team and partners are working to integrate results from the Biodiversity Conservation Strategy and the Coastal Conservation Vision Mapping with complementary tools that inform Great Lakes coastal wetland conservation and restoration.
Existing tools for western Lake Erie:
- Great Lakes Coastal Wetland Decision Support Tool considers existing wetlands connected to Great Lakes and prioritizes efforts based on condition and user-defined objectives (http://www.greatlakeswetlands.org/Home.vbhtml).
- The Western Lake Erie Restoration Assessment (WLERA) mapping application considers former or diked wetlands that are in restorable land cover and within the elevation range of Lake Erie water level fluctuations (https://glcwra.wim.usgs.gov/wlera/).
- The Western Lake Erie Coastal Conservation Visioning (WLECCV) mapping application considers the full range of land cover types within 25 kilometers of Lake Erie, and optimizes investment by considering the contribution of conservation or restoration to regional ecological and socioeconomic goals (nature.org/wlecoastal).
Integrating these three tools within the Coastal Resilience approach and mapping platform will provide a more holistic and regional-level view of the current and projected state of western Lake Erie to better inform decision-making and the implementation of nature-based solutions. Conservation actions should meet measurable ecological goals and sustain nature-based activities that contribute positively to the region’s communities and economies.
Applying Coastal Resilience tools to western Lake Erie will provide stakeholders in the area with the opportunity to customize results for local needs while visualizing potential impacts of future flooding and wave damage on valued resources. The following ecological and socioeconomic data can inform decision making when viewed alongside flooding and lake level scenarios as well as the top 25% WLE Coastal Conservation Vision results:
- Ecological variables:
- Potential wetland restorability index
- Coastal terrestrial biodiversity significance
- Inland waterfowl stopover habitat
- Coastal land bird stopover habitat
- Socioeconomic variables:
- Boating access
- Proximity to recreation areas
- Proximity to birding hotspots
Partners
Resources
For the latest reports, paper and other publications on coastal resilience in Connecticut visit the Resilience Resource Library on the Conservation Gateway.