Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
Nearly half of all Americans live and work in coastal counties, areas that also provide critical habitat for a diversity of fish and wildlife. Important as these places are for supporting human and natural communities, their capacity to do so in the face of rising sea levels varies widely. Coastal sites flanked by extensive lowlands have space for coastal habitats to migrate landward in response to sea level rise. However, this potential habitat migration can be impeded by human activities that physically block movement, degrade ecological condition, and disrupt key ecological processes.
TNC scientists evaluated over 10,000 sites in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic US for the size, configuration, and tidal diversity of their migration space, and for the natural processes necessary to support the migration of coastal habitats landward as the sea level rises.
With no action, this region could see an 83% loss of existing tidal habitats to severe inundation. But with proper management, there are thousands of individual sites where tidal habitats could increase and expand through landward migration, reversing this trend. These resilient sites could offset more than 50% of tidal wetland loss, providing critical habitat for birds and wildlife, and buffering people from the effects of storms and floods. With these results, communities and resource managers can better prioritize land acquisition, identify areas for restoration, and develop effective strategies for sustaining the natural benefits provided by coastal habitats.
The results and data from the Resilient Coastal Sites study can be used in different ways to protect and manage valuable coastal resources for both people and nature. Each of the strategies below can be visually and geographically explored through an interactive story map.
- Prioritize land acquisition by focusing on the unsecured migration space of resilient marshes.
- Influence future development to prevent it from occurring in the boundary of a coastal marsh or directly in the migration space to enable marsh movement as the sea level rises.
- Identify areas for restoration where sites with relatively large amounts of migration space but in poor ecological condition can be improved by local management and conservation efforts.
- Maintain coastal productivity by conserving resilient sites whose migration space is larger than the current marsh and are thus expected to be more productive in the future.
- Invest in Natural Solutions by identifying resilient marshes that could potentially mitigate the effects of storm surge and sea level rise on densely populated areas.
- Identify resilient and biodiverse sites with internationally or regionally significant biodiversity.
- Sustain Important Bird Areas by identifying climate resilient sites that also have global or regional significance for birds, based on an ecoregional assessment for the Northwest Atlantic (Greene et al. 2010).

Hardened shorelines leave coastal properties more exposed to storm surges and rising sea levels than wetland communities which offer a natural buffer zone. Photo credit: © Erika Nortemann/TNC

Woodland, salt marsh and wetlands protected by conservation easement in the The Nature Conservancy’s Virginia Coast Reserve. Photo credit: Mark Godfrey.
Resources
- Conservation Gateway Page: Resilient Coastal Sites in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. https://www.nature.org/resilientcoasts
- Map Viewer: Resilient Coastal Sites in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. http://nature.org/ECoastalResilienceMap
- Strategy Map: Resilient Coastal Sites in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. https://arcg.is/0GS9Sz
- Resilient Lands Tool: http://maps.tnc.org/resilientland/
References
Anderson, M.G, J. Odell, M. Clark, Z. Ferdaña, and J.K. Greene. 2010. The Northwest Atlantic Marine Ecoregional Assessment: Identifying Conservation Areas in the Northwest Atlantic Marine Region. Phase Two. The Nature Conservancy, Eastern U.S. Division, Boston, MA.
Bromberg Gedan, K. D., B. R. Silliman, and M. D. Bertness. 2009. Centuries of human-driven change in salt marsh ecosystems. Annual Review of Marine Science. 1:117-141.
Cooper, M. J. P., M. D. Beevers, and M. Oppenheimer. 2008. The potential impacts of sea level rise on the coastal region of New Jersey, USA. Climate Change. 90: 475-492.
Greene, J.K., M.G. Anderson, J. Odell, and N. Steinberg, eds. 2010. The Northwest Atlantic Marine Ecoregional Assessment: Species, Habitats and Ecosystems. Phase One. The Nature Conservancy, Eastern U.S. Division, Boston, MA.
U.S. Census Bureau, “Coastline Population Trends in the United States: 1960 to 2008,” Population Estimates and Projections, P25-1139, May 2010, pg. 14. Available at: http://www.census.gov/prod/2010pubs/p25-1139.pdf.